Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert
Current Tropical Activity
There are no tropical cyclones
in the Atlantic at this time.
Atlantic Hurricane Season runs
from June 1st to November 30th.
The Next 5 Days
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission earlier
this afternoon indicated that the remnants of Harvey, located over
the central Caribbean Sea, do not have a well-defined center of
circulation. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm
activity remains disorganized and has decreased in coverage and
intensity since earlier in the day. Gradual development of this
system is still possible through Monday night while it moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph near the coast of Honduras, and
it could become a tropical cyclone again before it reaches the coast
of Belize or the Yucatan Peninsula early Tuesday. The remnants are
expected to move into the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday, where
redevelopment appears more likely due to more favorable upper-level
winds. Interests in northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, and the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
A trough of low pressure located about a hundred miles north-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands is producing an elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends southeastward toward Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph toward the northern Bahamas and southern Florida. Conditions could become a little more conducive for development later in the week when the system is near Florida or the adjacent waters of the western Atlantic or eastern Gulf of Mexico.
A large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms located about 900 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a trough of low pressure. Upper-level winds are not conducive for development of this system while it moves northwestward over the central Atlantic at 10 to 15 mph.